Hey all, the Wimbledon draw took place this morning at the All England Club and Roger will be getting underway on Monday against Dusan Lajovic who he played last year in the second round. You can see his projected path below based on the seedings.
Federer's Projected Opponents
- Round 1: Dusan Lajovic
- Round 2: Lukas Lacko / Benjamin Bonzi
- Round 3: Ivo Karlovic / Leonardo Mayer
- Round 4: Borna Coric
- Quarter Final: Sam Querrey / Kevin Anderson
- Semi Final: Marin Cilic / Grigor Dimitrov
- Final: Rafael Nadal / Alexander Zverev
Thoughts on the Draw
So it's Switzerland vs. Serbia II here and hopefully, Roger can mirror his footballing counterparts but do it with a clean sheet and bag straight set win. The two met at Wimbledon last year and Lajovic offered some early resistance going up a break before eventually losing in straights. The Serb has a pretty decent game so it could well be a similar match to the 2017 encounter. Like last year Lajovic is heading into SW19 with just 2 matches on grass, but this time around it's straight to centre court and I think Fed will have far too much for him.
Round 2 sees either qualifier Benjamin Bonzi or Lukas Lacko as the opposition. Bonzi beat James Ward in the final round of qualifying but I don't know much about him as he's just getting started at this level. Lacko, on the other hand, has been around a while and he's played pretty well on grass this season, winning a couple of matches in Halle and he's currently in the semifinals over in Eastbourne. I would pick the Slovakian to come through his opener and he's another guy that will put up a fight but Fed is the firm favourite, winning their two previous matches, both at slam level, in straight sets.
For the third round, it's wide open with Karlovic, Leo Mayer, Youzhny and Struff in this section. Dr Ivo hasn't won a match on grass this season losing in both Rosmalen and Halle but historically he's played well at Wimbledon so I guess he might be favourite to come through. Mayer has a decent game for grass but his consistency over five is questionable. Youzhny has the tools but his legs are gone and Struff is another inconsistent type but he does have a hefty serve + forehand. Hard to see any of those guys troubling Fed too much though unless they have one of those days where everything turns to gold.
With Bautista Agut withdrawing that moved Coric into the top sixteen seedings so he's Roger's projected 4th round opposition. He's fresh off defeating the Swiss in Halle so heads into Wimbledon with plenty confidence but I made the prediction he'd lose early at Wimbledon so I will stick with that. Medvedev isn't a given in the first round and my pick to come through that section will be Adrian Mannarino assuming he isn't drained after flying in from Turkey where he's currently playing.
As for the quarters, Kevin Anderson and Sam Querrey are the likely ones on paper. Anderson has made the fourth round three times and Querrey was last years semifinalist. I'm not sure the American is in as good a form as he was last year but there's not really anyone jumping out at me from that section. Can Gasquet muster something? Who knows. Seppi is solid but again not really a huge threat so I imagine it will be Querrey vs. Anderson in Round 4.
Into the semi-finals and Cilic is the form guy having won Queens and the third seed. He's certainly the favourite to come through that section but there's also Isner, Raonic and Dimitrov in that section who are all capable on grass. Raonic will certainly factor if he's over the pectoral injury he sustained at Queens. But it's just honestly too far away to make any sort of predictions. Five best of five matches to get there is an awful lot of tennis but I'll pick Cilic to be there.
As for the final Nadal is, of course, the number 2 seed and in his half there's Djokovic, Sascha Zverev, Murray, Kyrgios and Del Potro. It's certainly interesting to see who comes through from there, Nadal has an ok path but his grass form in recent years isn't the best. Murray isn't ready that's for sure so maybe Djokovic can kick on from his Queens run. I thought he'd played himself into some form at the French before he seemed to run out of gas against Cecchinato but I don't think he's too far off competing for slams again.
So it looks pretty good based on the above but as always the draw is just a piece of paper and after Round 1 all the projections will no doubt be torn up 🙂 I'm just looking forward to the first match on Monday and hopefully Fed can play his way nicely into the tournament, he's had plenty match practice and what looks like a solid few days practice in SW19 so he should be good to go.
What are your thoughts on the draw? Let me know in the comments.