The Wimbledon 2016 draw is out and Roger has landed in the same half as Djokovic which means he will kick off his campaign on Monday You can see his projected opponents below:
Federer's Projected Opponents
- Round 1: Guido Pella
- Round 2: Ricardas Berankis
- Round 3: Alexandr Dolgopolov
- Round 4: Gilles Simon
- Quarter Finals: Kei Nishikori / Marin Cilic
- Semi Finals: Novak Djokvoci
- Final: Andy Murray
Thoughts on the Draw
First up is Argentine Guido Pella who has only played 2 matches on grass at ATP / Slam level losing both. He should be easy pickings and if Roger is close to what we've seen on grass at Wimbledon over the last 2 seasons then it's tough to see him winning over 8 games.
The second round is then seeded to be against Ricardas Berankis, he was hyped a few years ago and took Cilic to 5 sets at SW19 last year but you'd have to pick Fed in straight sets for this one. Berankis isn't the tallest guy so his serve isn't a threat which makes things much easier for Fed seen as though his return game looks to be his big weakness post comeback.
Into the third round and Dolgopolov who has only played one tournament since the Rome Master. That was the Aegon Open in Nottingham losing to Gilles Muller in straight sets so he's not going in with much preparation. The Ukrainian's game translates pretty well to grass though but you have to say Roger is better in every area which is why he leads the H2H 3-0. If the match up happens I'm sure Dolgopolov will produce some flashy winners but over best of 5 Federer is odds on to prevail.
Round 4 sees the start of the second week and the seeded opponent is Gilles Simon. Simon had huge problems with his serve at Queens with basically the yips so who knows what to expect from him. Roger crushed him last year so I'd expect the same again. On form Steve Johnson is the guy who could come through as he's had a decent start to the grass court season making the Quarter Finals at Queens and is playing in the Semi Finals at Nottingham today. Monfils is in there too but he's severely undertennised so I think Fed comes through regardless of opponent in this section.
Men's quarter final day would see Roger potentially meet Nishikori or Cilic. Roger has been practising with Cilic this week and the 2014 USO winner has performed consistently well on grass. He has Ivanesevic in his corner too so he's bound to be a tricky opponent and if Roger were a step slow like we saw in Halle last week then Cilic is going to cause problems with his power baseline game. The same applies for Nishikori too should he make the Quarters, he's got injured at the Gerry Weber Open though so tough to say whether he's fully fit. But he moves well and takes the ball very early which means Roger would have to be skipping nicely around to play on his terms.
Semi's is then of course Djoker who has a pretty good draw himself with no real problems up until the Quarter Finals where he could meet Raonic. Impossible to predict this one but Djokovic is the heavy favourite should they meet. The top seed from the other half is Murray who is coming in off the back of a Queen's Win and is favourite to make the final.
Interesting First Round Matches
- Kohlschreiber vs. Herbert
- Sock vs. Gulbis
- Monfils vs. Chardy
- Coric vs. Karlovic
- Thiem vs. Mayer
- Verdasco vs. Tomic
- Fritz vs. Wawrinka
- Gasquet vs. Bedene
- Isner vs. Baghdatis
- Kyrgios vs. Stepanek
So expectations for Roger? Quarter Finals for me then anything can happen. There's a lot of question marks post Stuttgart / Halle so I guess we'll know more about what sort of level he can hit once he has (hopefully) played his first 2 or 3 matches. See you guys Monday. Allez!