Hey guys, just before the start of the Australian Open I posted a form to fill in where you could predict the End of Year Top 8 in the Men's Rankings. The response rate was really high so I've collated the data and put together some graphs showing what many of you believe the top 8 will look like come November.
Obviously this isn't the largest data set and there's bound to be some Federer bias in there but I think the results are pretty interesting. Take a look at some key bits I picked out below.
Who Will End the Year Ranked Number 1?
According to all voters there are only 4 players with a chance of ending the year ranked number one with Djokovic and Federer making up the bulk of the picks. Nadal is of course there too and Nishikori got one vote. You can see the breakdown below:
Will We See a New Face in The Top 8?
Last year Raonic, Cilic and Nishikori ended the year in the top 8 for the first time so will we see any new faces break into it for 2015? 56% think we will:
Which Player is Likely to End the Year in the Top 8 for the First Time?
Of the 56% who think there will be a newcomer who did they choose? No real surprises here as Dimitrov is by far and away the most popular pick, after all he only just missed out on a top 8 spot in 2014. Goffin was also popular and there a couple of surprise picks in there for Janowicz and Kukushkin.
Will Federer Be Ranked in the Top 2?
Roger was locked in a battle for Number 1 at the end of last year but can he maintain that consistency this year? 76% think so. I'm not sure he will as the field is definitely strong right now so he will need to perform well in the 3 remaining slams to stand a chance.
Who is Most Likely To End the Year in the Top 4 for the First Time?
Wawrinka was the player to hold that accolade last year but will there be a new member of the top 4 for 2015? Only 4 players cropped up inside the top 4 picks and Nishikori leads the way.
Can Del Potro Get Back in the Top 8?
Del Potro's comeback got off to a good start in Sydney when he won his first match before losing in the Quarters but that was shortlived as he withdrew from the Australian Open and has since undergone another wrist operation. Does he have a chance of making back into the top 8? It's unlikely according to the predictions.
Will Cilic Maintain His Position in the Top 8?
Cilic was a surprise package winning last year's US Open but his London debut wasn't impressive and he's just missed the Australian Open with a shoulder injury. Can he keep his spot in the top 8? Not many think so.
Will Ferrer Return into the Top 8?
Ferrer didn't make last years World Tour Finals; playing one match after Raonic's withdrawal in the Round Robin as a reserve. So will he qualify outright in 2015 and end the year ranked inside the top 8? Three quarters of respondents believe he will.
Could Federer Slip Outside The Top 4 Again?
2013 was a disaster year for the Swiss, slipping outside the Top 4 for the first time since 2003. Could the same happen in 2015? It looks unlikely..
What about Nadal – Will He Remain in the Top 4?
And what about Nadal? Perhaps some FedFan bias coming in here but a large number of fans don't think he will end the year in the top 4. From what I saw in Australia I think he probably will, he was woeful in at least 3 matches down under but still made the Quarters. His clay season will no doubt give us more info on how well he's playing.
So there you have it, a quick overview of the predictions. I'd like to thank everyone for contributing and filling out the form and if you have any ideas for more graphs etc let me know in the comments.