Hi all, another quiet period on the blog after Roger's early exit in Shanghai but the Swiss Indoors is finally here and the GOAT has got a pretty nice draw for his home tournament. You can see his projected opponents below.
Federer's Projected Opponents
- Round 1: Mikhail Kukushkin
- Round 2: Philipp Kohlschreiber
- Quarter Finals: David Goffin
- Semi Finals: Kevin Anderson
- Final: Stan Wawrinka / Rafael Nadal
Thoughts on the Draw
First up is the Kazakh Mikhail Kukushkin who Fed leads 2-0 in the H2H. I saw Kukushkin play live against Murray at Wimbledon this year and he's got some pretty sweet shots so it's good test for Federer first up. Kukushkin plays well indoors too winning St. Petersberg back in 2010 and making the final in Moscow 2013. He also beat Stan in Basel last year so Fed will need to make sure he hits the ground running in this one; an upset seems unlikely especially after Ramos in Shanghai but you never know.
Round 2 could then be the German Philipp Kohlschreiber but indoors I don't think he is a threat for Federer; aside from the mental H2H ownage he hits with an extreme grip so if the ball is low like it often is on an indoor court he becomes much less of a problem.
The third round sees the man Federer defeated in last years final David Goffin as the seeded opponent. Goffin can give Federer problems with how they match up, almost Simon like, so again a match where Fed will need to bring his A game to come through unscathed.
The semi final is then seeded to be against the newest member of the Top 10 Kevin Anderson. Anderson has been in decent form but lost to Steve Johnson in Vienna yesterday so I'm not sure he will make the semis in Basel. He tends to do better on slower hard courts too so if Basel is playing like a true indoor court then I don't like his chances.
Then there's the final, Stan is the seeded opponent (he has Karlovic first up so a tricky one) and that would be a blockbuster final. Nadal is also in the mix too and he looked back in form in Shanghai before Tsonga came up with the goods to defeat him. Although looking at the draw it looks as though Brennwald has it in for Nadal after his no shows over the years as he's got Rosol up first then Dimitrov, Cilic and Stan before a potential Fedal final.
- Coric to take out Anderson
- Gulbis to beat Isner
- Rosol Nadal to go three sets
Fed's first match is on Tuesday evening and live chat will be open as usual so I'll see you guys then. After that though I won't be able to do my usual match reports as I'm heading over to Basel to hopefully see Fed play on Thursday. Roger's record isn't great though when he has to win a match in order for me to see him play live so I guess we'll see how it goes vs. Kukushkin 😆