ATP World TourRoger Federer

Predict The End of Year Top 8 Rankings for 2015

One final post from me before the action kicks off on Monday in Melbourne with Roger the main attraction for the first night session of 2015 on Rod Laver Arena. Some of you will have seen this in the comments but a couple of posts ago Stefan suggested a prediction based game where we try and predict the Top 8 men at the end of the year.

I thought it was a cool idea and it makes sense to do it before the first Slam of the year so here it is below. Just fill in the player names (surnames only) next to the corresponding numbers and include your own name / online alias.

Scoring will be as follows:

  • Two points for every correctly picked player who ends up in the top eight.
  • Five points for every player picked in the right ranking position.

So there's a maximum of 56 points available. Good luck with your picks and share them in the comments too if you wish. Depending on entries I might put together a couple of charts showing who are the most popular picks, who is chosen YE#1 the most etc.

Jonathan

Huge fan of Roger Federer. I watch all his matches from Grand Slam level right down to ATP 250. When I'm not watching or tweeting about tennis I play regularly myself and use this blog to share my thoughts on Federer and tennis in general.

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101 Comments

    1. Congrats Eldrin πŸ™‚ But please don’t be in such a domination mood like last year πŸ™‚
      Give us “who just try and try” also a fighting chance πŸ™‚

  1. ohhh so there is a point system for the rank!!! can I submit again Jonathan? lol

    I put (in order) the guys that just popped in my head

    Federer
    Djokovic
    Nadal
    Murray
    Nishikori
    Raonic
    Dimitrov
    Ferrer/Berdych

    this is what my heart wants!! But when you think about the YE ranking wise I think this will be another djokovic year? or maybe nadal’s T_T I just don’t want one of them to be YE no. 1 again LOL

  2. Hey, Jonathan!
    So, I went with:
    01. Djokovic.
    02. Nadal.
    03. Federer.
    04. Murray.
    05. Wawrinka.
    06. Nishikori.
    07. Dimitrov.
    08. Raonic.
    Gulbis could take a place there if he wasn’t an idiot (which he is). Dimitrov is a risk because he’s sort of an inconsistent douche sometimes! Also Del Potro’s just come back from injury so I couldn’t include him. Ferrer, Berdych and Cilic to fall behind.

      1. I filled in my Tiger choices, and I just noticed that Jonathan…what a shame. πŸ™ He did have physio out a couple of times in the few matches he played, so I guessed he was not confident. Either it’s still not right, or he doesn’t want to push it in up to 5 set slam conditions. So many people were looking forward to seeing him play. I hope things improve for him.

  3. This is fun…I’ve already forgotten most of mine, except that Federer is 1, and Ferrer is 8, and Berdych is out…Can’t wait for year-end!

      1. And me – plus I’ve also got Feds at No.2 – thinking the same way you did, but I’m hoping to be wrong and that he does get a y/e No.1…dream, dream, dream, but not impossible. πŸ™‚

  4. Nice that you liked the idea! I’ll be back with my own predictions. By the way, I joined the Tiger challenge too. Could be fun!

  5. Here we go:
    Federer (okay, more heart than brain…)
    Djokovic (definitely top two)
    Nishikori (will win a GS this year)
    Nadal (will slip further downwards – or end up #1)
    Raonic (will have to wait one more year for the next step)
    Murray (sorry Andy, Big Four is history)
    Del Potro (let’s really hope your body will cope)
    Kyrgios (wild guess, but it’s fun to include at least one outsider…)

      1. Yeah, it was tough to leave him out, but he has been too inconsistent. He peaked last year and I just don’t think he will repeat what he did at the start of 2014. How many points did he collect after Monte Carlo, really? And Chennai wasn’t really a big deal, was it?

  6. And nobody has Monfils in it as yet. I think he will be hard to beat this year, going more serious for wins. I also forgot him! Might take the free place between the 8 from Nadal, if Rafa’s downwards continues…?

  7. Right Stefan, Stan might be doubtable, because of doubts in his ever winning a slam again…but he is REALLY a strong player, when he goes for it. And he did it some times in the last couple of months. But I see what you mean, though….

    1. Yeah, I agree with you. It was easier to leave Berdych and Ferrer out of the list. And fun to include a couple of longshots. πŸ™‚

  8. Hi Jonanthan

    That was fun probably completely wrong and my heart definitely rules the head with my choices – just do not want Djokovic or Nadal at the top

    1 Federer
    2 Djokovic
    3 Wawrinka
    4 Nadal
    5 Raonic
    6 Murray
    7 Nishikori
    8 Dimitrov

  9. ATP rankings as per Nov 23, 2015. (only a prediction).

    1. Novak Djokovic (wins Roland Garros, US open finalist)
    2. Kei Nishikori ( wins Australian Open and WTF)
    3. Roger Federer (8th Wimbledon title)
    4. Grigor Dimitrov (US Open Title , Wimbledon finalist )
    5 Stan Wawrinka ( 4-5 titles, SF appearances at GS)
    6. Andy Murray (realtively consistent, no highlights)
    7. Milos Raonic (ATP 1000 titles)
    8. Rafa Nadal (2 clay court titles)

  10. None of us think there are going to be big changes at the top, do we? Stefan expressed my thoughts pretty well. Here’s what I ended up with:

    1. Federer
    2. Djokovic
    3. Nishikori
    4. Berdych
    5. Nadal
    6. Murray
    7. Wawrinka
    8. Goffin

    1. Yeah, it’s really wishful thinking to put Roger in the top spot. It would be an incredible achievement, but as a hardcore fan you’re allowed to dream, aren’t you?
      But when it comes to defending points, Roger doesn’t have more to defend than anyone else. In the race to YE #1, they all start from scratch. (The Race standings actually look rearly nice from a Swiss point of view πŸ™‚

  11. I think Roger will return to no.1 at some point this year, but not at year-end like in 2012.

    1.Djokovic
    2.Federer
    3.Nadal
    4.Wawrinka
    5.Nishikori
    6.Raonic
    7.Murray
    8.Berdych

    1. Yeah agree Conal, No.1 at some point but the year end? Too much to ask. I prefer him plays few more years longer rather than pushing too much. Having said that, I’m still gonna name Fed on top πŸ™‚

      Hey Jonathan, PT’s offering us a lots of fun already into this year, love the proactive move!

      1. But the Year End Ranking has got nothing to do with “Points to defend”. It’s just the amount of points you acquire over the year…

      2. Ankur you are talking about race to London I think. Year end rankings has everything to do with how you defend your points throughout the season

      3. Ankur is right really, my comment reads wrong, I meant return to #1 at all during the year and unlikely to be YE#1 if he plays a relaxed schedule.

        ATP ranking points & the race to London (YTD) or Year End ranking points are equal at the end of the year after Bercy so there is no difference between them.

  12. So here’s mine:

    1. Federer (purely a biased pick lol)
    2. Djokovic (deep inside, he should swap places with Roger)
    3. Wawrinka
    4. Nadal
    5. Murray
    6. Nishikori
    7. Raonic
    8. Dimitrov

  13. My top 8 rankings for the end of the year are:

    1 Jonathan
    2. Sid
    3.Gaurav
    4.Thinker
    5. Eldrin
    6.Susie
    7.Wanda
    8.Katyani

    (Damn, I didn’t make it!)

      1. Thanks Richard. Is this the Year End “First” tally leader? Because in that case It’s probably Eldrin WAYYYYYYYYY ahead.

    1. HAHAHA this is great Richard!!! LOL πŸ™‚ I hope I do make the top 8 again πŸ˜€

      HAHA Gaurav I hope I can have another good year!

      1. He shouldn’t have missed you out Alex, you were top of the list – I guess it might be hard to repeat?! But you should certainly be on the board. Never mind, just like Feds, you can prove them all wrong. πŸ™‚

    2. Richard, you have really high expectations of me. It’s not gonna happen, and I’ll tell you why.

      I mean, please, look, some commenters grow up and comment like that. I remember once I was reading the entire post, and they all just start rushing to comment without reading, and I lost. They end up being first for some reason, because that’s the kind of way they grew up commenting when they were reading blog post.

      I never played that way. I believe in hard work’s gonna pay off kinda thing. So for me, this is very hard to understand how can you get your first comment in like that and claim to have won a title.

      πŸ˜‰

    3. Your comment is awaiting moderation.
      Richard, you have really high expectations of me. It’s not gonna happen, and I’ll tell you why.

      I mean, please, look, some commenters grow up and comment like that. I remember once I was reading the entire post, and they all just start rushing to comment without reading, and I lost. They end up being first for some reason, because that’s the kind of way they grew up commenting when they were reading blog post.

      I never played that way. I believe in hard work’s gonna pay off kinda thing. So for me, this is very hard to understand how can you get your first comment in like that and claim to have won a title.

      πŸ˜‰

    4. Hey Richard, I am happy with my 8th place. Atleast I am there, in London πŸ™‚ And…. 8 happens to be the Goat’s lucky number. What more can I ask for?? πŸ™‚

  14. Nice to see Goffin at Thinker’s list – I did not include him, but I will really support him!
    (And Richard’s list is my favorite)

    1. Cute of course – and hey, you’re right Gaurav, there is a look of Robert in the one on the left.

      Isn’t Edberg delicious Sue? Now there’s a guy who knows how to age gracefully.

  15. I’ve already made a mistake! I forgot Wawrinka – aargh, that’s terrible: can I replace Berdych with Wawrinka please Jonathan? I noticed in your group A and B that there is no Nadal! Is this your choice for top 8. πŸ™‚

    Love your list Thinker – Goffin seems like such a sweet guy – can’t see it, but you just never know – wouldn’t it be great?

    Does the winner get one of those nice T-shirts, or are we just playing for prestige? πŸ™‚

      1. Thanks Jonathan…understand there’s got to be a limit on prizes – we don’t want to bankrupt you. πŸ™‚

    1. Yeah, Goffin may not have enough power, but he’s also young enough to still have some upside, & he had such a fabulous year last year … I’m thinking maybe the heir to Ferrer type of thing? ….. not always right at the very top, but such a fighter and always close.

  16. Hey Jon

    Great initiativ from Stefan and you.

    I had Djokovic as number one just until I was about to submit, then I thought if Fed was ever going to finish as nr. 1 again, it would be 2015, so switched in the las moment πŸ™‚

    1. Federer
    2. Djokovic
    3. Murray
    4. Nishikori
    5. Nadal
    6. Raonic
    7. Wawrinka
    8. Berdych

    Not sure if the last 4 is right, my memory is not what it has been πŸ™‚

  17. 1. Federer
    2. Djokovic
    3. Wawrinka
    4. Nishikori
    5. Raonic
    6. Berdych
    7. Murray
    8. Nadal

    I think I put them in that order ^^

    Just have a feeling Nadal will kinda slop this year, and muzza’s gonna continue on last year’s form.

  18. I have an irrational feeling that Djoko will slop a little in the following year, and Rafa will really try to go for it, his maybe last year in top 5. But Fed being in betterer form than them will top the list! Might take 2 GS’s…
    So for me:
    Federer
    Nadal
    Djoko…
    And the rest will be an ever so tight pack, –

    1. [ his maybe last year in top 5]

      Who? Nadal? You’re kidding me? I was sure he was going to be finished by late 2014, early 2015, but sounds like that’s not going to happen. I have no idea where this guy gets his super powers from.

      If he ends up with a really good run at the AO, or wins it, which he would have done after a long injury layoff, and it doesn’t make his own fans raise eyebrows, I’d be very surprised. Or maybe not, because that’s how his Aunt Toni, and his doctors want him to win. Take a long rest, dope, then come back and kill the field. Fucking Mallorcan thug.

      1. OK Sid, agree somehow – it’s only total irrational for my part, feeling that Nadal is nearly done with, – he has been talking about being tired, but that’s no reason of course, – and has started a tennis-school in his name, – right or wrong, I just feel that Nadal wants to make a really great last entry…

  19. Seems like all of us have similar ideas of the top. Tough to pick, really. I went with:

    Djokovic
    Federer
    Nadal
    Murray
    Nishikori
    Berdych
    Raonic
    Wawrinka

  20. So tough to predict. Depends on points to defend, injury, Nadal’s mental state, etc. Threw Berdych in there because on the new coach. No Dimi or Ferrer for me.
    Top 10 would be easier to predict.
    Hey, maybe Fognini will win the FO! lol

    1. I have not watched much of Berdych, I get crazy waiting for him to get ready to serve, but of course he must be good – is he better than for instance Isner? What is his forces? Can he beat Roger with some luck?

      1. Berdych has beaten Rog a few times – notably at Wimbledon 2010 and USO 2012 (I think that’s right) – so he can certainly do it. Strong serve, forehand and backhand, hit flat, and he can certainly paint the lines when playing well. But not a great mover volleyer. Known to choke against top 5 players. But he knows he can do it if he plays well and although he lost mostly to Roger in the past, he has had some success in recent times. However, Feds beat him last year at Dubai and should they meet, I think Feds would be the winner this time.

        *He is slow to serve, but still not as bad as Nadal…but then no one is!

      2. He has a better record against Roger than against Rafa and Djoker. Was almost double -bageled by Djokovic in the Beijing final in October (0-6, 0-5 before Novak left him two games). I’d say the young guns will have left him and Ferrer behind by the end of this year.

  21. Thanks Slamdunk for inf about Berdych. It will be so exciting to follow them all this year…

    About Djoko – not easy to know – did he practise today then?

    1. He was supposed to practice today but I don’t know anymore than what was said in he article. He hasn’t pulled out so I guess it’s some sort of virus. He won’t need to be anywhere near his best for the first match as he only faces a qualifier.

  22. Oh and thanks Stefan, too. It seems Berdych is having a low period. Or the others improved more? Ferrer won his latest tournament, though, where Djoko was beaten by Ivo the Bomber!

  23. Would love to say Fed says 1 or 2.

    But I think it’s just as likely Nadal ends up pulling one last hurrah (I hope) and crushes this year a la ’13.

    I think Andy is on his way back.

    Djoko is a machine still in prime and he’ll hang on to one or two.

    Fed is too consistent to fall below 4 unless he get’s hurt.

    So bummed for Del Porto. He is far and away my fave after Fed.

    Milos is too inconsistent in his ground game to seriously threaten the top few spots this year.

    I say the big 4 makes one last appearance occupying the top 4 at the end of 2015. Then make way for Milos and Kei to forever brish last Berdych and Wawrinka and in contend for a place among them in ’16.

    Jonathan – did you list your predictions? Will you? Would love to see your thoughts!

    What an unreal compliment to Fed that He was the best of his generation (Roddick & co.), still among the best in the next generation (Djoko & co.), and now he’s still there as the 3rd gen comes up. GOAT. …I think he has a fair shot here in melbourne.

  24. Hey guys. Fed’s match is on. I am on live chat. Strangely, it is empty. There is nobody else on live chat. Not even Jonathan. Something wrong?

    1. No, nothing is wrong Ani. Most of us are working, it is Monday you know πŸ™‚ But I watched the live scores and oh yesss, the Goat just won. I hope I can see a rerun of it at home. Talk to you later πŸ™‚

  25. Only Federer can get away with a comment like this and still sound absolutely adorable:
    Interviewer: So Rog, did you know that it’s your coach Stefan’s birthday today
    Federer: Yeah
    Interviewer: What did you get him
    Federer (sheepishly): Nothing yet. The shops are still open aren’t they? I played a few points with him in the warm up before the match. He likes that.

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