Basel is still in full swing for Federer but with Paris starting Monday the draw is now out. The big news pre tournament is that Nadal and Cilic have both pulled out. Nadal has shut down until next season now and is having his appendix out in the next couple of weeks. Another weird decision to play Basel really but I'm glad he took to the court unshaven so we knew he wasn't 100% 😆 As for Cilic has has an arm injury and won't want to jeopardise his World Tour Finals chances as he as already qualified.
Those withdrawals have opened up the draw considerably and should Federer play Paris then he has quite a nice route through. You can see his projected opponents below:
Roger Federer's Projected Opponents
Thoughts on the Draw
First up is either a Qualifier or Jeremy Chardy. Chardy plays vs. Robredo today in the Valencia Semi Finals which should be a fairly tough match for him. That could effect his chances of making the 2nd Round and he also has a very poor record in Bercy winning just 2 matches and losing 5. Whoever Fed plays I think he can win handily. Chardy troubled him in Brisbane but that's a long time ago and the surface is completely different here so I think it's unlikely Fed drops more than 6 games here.
Third round could be another match vs. Karlovic but the higher seed is Fognini. He's had a terrible season after playing quite well in some early clay tournaments. Just zero ability to win matches or play sensibly. Fed can handle both those guys comfortably.
In the Quarters Raonic is the seeded opponent but I'm not sure on his form, he was poor in Basel vs Donald Young and hasn't really had a good time of things since the USO. I'll pick Bautista-Agut to come through that section who so far has been shown to be a weaponless pusher by Fed. He gets balls in play but nothing else.
The Semi Finals could be against fellow countryman Stan Wawrinka but he's as reliable as a fake Rolex this season so I can't see him making it. Berdych too is highly unpredictable so I'll pick Kevin Anderson to make the semis. I think he can play well on this surface and if can avoid AnderCHOKE levels he should play well. Berdych does however own him in the H2H so we'll see if he can get the monkey off his back.
Thiem and Dologopolov are hanging around in this section of the draw too but hard to see them coming through. If Paris plays slow I think Thiem has a decent chance as he has expansive shots but if it's playing fast then he has a tendency to move backwards to get full swings in and that isn't going to work for him against players who take it early. Gasquet is also in this section too but I don't see him having the form to do damage, he played well in Bercy last year but he'd had a pretty good year, this year he's been injured a lot and generally stinking up the place.
Into the final and the man on the other side is Djokovic. He's just become a father for the first time and named his first child after Roger's coach. I nice touch I thought 😆 Djoker is good in Paris and beat Fed here last year before beating Ferrer in the final. He doesn't have an easy draw though with Kohlschreiber a potential 2nd round opponent and his section is packed with seeds – Murray, Ferrer, Dimitrov, Nishikori and Tsonga are all in that half.
- Federer to make the Final
- Anderson to make the Semi Finals
- Monfils to take out Djokovic
- Nishikori to make the final
- Benneteau to beat Murray
What do you guys think of the draw? Will Fed play for definite and how will he do?