Basel is still in full swing the draw for the Paris Masters 1000 event in Bercy came out yesterday with Roger landing in the same half as Djokovic. I thought I'd just do a quick recap of the draw, outline Roger's opponents and some of the likely outcomes.
I won't make too many predictions as I think much depends on what happens in Basel both today against Pospisil and how Roger plays should he make the final on Sunday.
Federer's Potential Opponents
- Round 1: Bye
- Round 2: Kevin Anderson / Mikhail Youzhny
- Round 3: Tommy Haas
- Quarter Final: Juan Martin Del Potro
- Semi Final: Novak Djokovic
- Final: Rafael Nadal
Thoughts on the Draw
Overall I think the draw is pretty good for Roger, is ranking doesn't really warrant getting an easy route to the final and he'll have to overcome some tough tests if he's to make the latter stages.
Even his second round opponent could be tricky as Anderson is a dangerous player, just a choker and Youzhny is always there or there abouts. I can't see Roger losing to Haas indoors but then Del Potro could face him in the Quarters which is obviously a difficult task. I think Youzhny will probably beat Anderson due to his experience and the fact he's playing quite well in Valencia.
As for a Del Potro Quarter Final, then Roger may meet him in in the final of Basel which could have a bearing on who wins in Paris depending on the result but I don't want to get too far ahead of myself. Indoors Del Potro has beaten Roger a couple of times so he'd surely fancy his chances in Paris regardless of the result in Basel.
The one thing about Paris though is that is always throws up some weird results so I'm expecting some upsets and an outsider to make the last 4, someone like a Jarkko Nieminen or Mahut could do well here because many players switch off mentally and just go through the motions now till the year end giving lower ranked guys a chance to make the latter stages.
Nadal has a real cake walk draw but it will be interesting to see how he handles the indoor court, maybe someone can upset him if they play aggressively enough but we'll have to see.
I probably make Djokovic the tournament favourite based on how he played in the Beijing and Shanghai but he hasn't always played that well in Paris despite winning it in 2009.
I'm also interested to see if Janowicz can recreate the form he showed their last year, he surely has fond memories because he played very well, he could face Nadal early in the tournament which would be a good match.
What do you guys think of the draw? Can Federer do well in Paris? Will he switch off if he knows his World Tour Finals spot is safe?