Hey all, the Monte Carlo draw for 2015 has just landed and it's a very strong field of players; which means no easy route to the final for any of the top seeds especially not Roger who's received a tough run in. You can see his projected opponents below:
Federer's Seeded Opponents
- Round 1: Bye
- Round 2: Jeremy Chardy
- Round 3: Gael Monfils / Alexander Dolgopolov
- Quarter Final: Stan Wawrinka / Grigor Dimitrov
- Semi Final: Milos Raonic
- Final: Novak Djokovic / Rafael Nadal
Thoughts on the Draw
The Monte Carlo country club has never been a happy hunting ground for Federer and on paper it's not looking any different this year. First up is either Jeremy Chardy or a Qualifier. Chardy has been playing over in Houston, losing yesterday to Anderchoke. That means he's got a 12 hour flight to catch with at least 1 stop before arriving in Nice and then playing his opener on Monday. Not ideal so depending on who he draws I'd think Fed could well be facing a qualifier in Round 2.
Round 3 is bound to be a tricky one if either Monfils or Dolgopolov make it. Coric is also a potential opponent but I'll pick Monfils to come through and his last match against Fed on clay was a straight sets demolition in the Davis Cup. Of course Fed was injured that day but you only have to look at the US Open match last year to know the level Monfils can produce. Fed is of course favourite against both those guys but given the way they play either could do some damage:
If Roger makes the quarter finals then a rematch of last years final could be on the cards against Wawrinka. Stan is coming in off a poor hard court swing in America and his unpredictable level always makes it hard to class him as a banker. In fact that whole section is packed with unpredictability in the shape of Dimitrov, Fognini, Verdasco, Janowicz and Monaco. There's bound to be some topsy turvy matches with those guys involved but if Stan can hold it together and get his self belief gland working then I think he'll come through.
The semi finals is then seeded to be against either Raonic or Berdych. Quite tough to call who comes through out of those two. Berdych is a two time semi finalist in Monte Carlo whilst Raonic made the quarters last year so fairly evenly matched, I'd pick Berdych as a better clay court player though to edge it should they meet.
Then of course comes the final which is projected to be against Djokovic or Nadal. The Serb has looked unstoppable lately but has he overplayed? Nadal on the other hand has looked below his best but a return to clay could spur him on. Ferrer can't be ruled out in that side of the draw either especially after he beat Nadal last year in convincing fashion.
Really hard to predict what Fed can do here in what I think is a wide open tournament. Last year he made the finals which was a bit of a surprise and this year I have no idea what to expect. Since this his first outing on clay I think he will be most vulnerable in his first 2 matches, if he comes through those then I like his chances of playing through to next weekend.
- Rosol to take out Tomic
- Troicki or Isner to blow a set lead vs. Nadal
- Nadal to defeat Ferrer
- Tsonga to take out Djokovic
What do you guys think? Can Federer win a title that has so far eluded him?