ATP Masters 1000Miami OpenRoger Federer

Miami Open Draw 2019: See Federer’s Projected Route

The three time champion could again face fellow Swiss Stan Wawrinka in Round 3

The dust has barely settled in Indian Wells but the Sunshine Double waits for no man and the Miami Open draw has just taken place at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.

Roger will be en route to Florida as we speak and the draw has thrown up a likely repeat of last week's third round clash against Stan Wawrinka. You can see Federer's projected opponents below.

Roger Federer's Projected Opponents in Miami 2019

  • Round 1: Bye
  • Round 2: Matthew Ebden / Radu Albot
  • Round 3: Stan Wawrinka
  • Round 4: Daniil Medvedev
  • Quarter Final: Kevin Anderson
  • Semi Final: Alexander Zverev
  • Final: Novak Djokovic

Full .PDF printable draw

Thoughts on the Draw

miami-open

 I feel good, I'm healthy, that is also like a victory, a lot of people underestimate this, so I'm happy. I will fly to Miami on Monday, could use some humidity my skin is extremely dry!

After the standard bye, Roger will face either Matthew Ebden or Radu Albot in the first round. The Moldovan came through qualifying and he's a great last few weeks winning the Delray Beach tournament.

At least it's not Kokkinakis this year though which can only be a good thing 😀 but I do expect Albot to come through and he's a solid player winning 4 matches over at Indian Wells where he again came through qualifying. No huge weapons but a test for Roger.

Round three could then be a repeat of Indian Wells with Wawrinka as the seeded opponent. Stan has a bye this time and will face either Pierre-Hugues Herbert or Filip Krajinović in the second round. The Serbian will likely come through that as he looked in pretty good form in the Coachella Valley last week before running into Nadal.

Should Roger play Stan I'd expect it to be closer than the match in Indian Wells but still pick Roger to come through. Statistically, Miami is Wawrinka's worst Masters 1000 for % of match wins but a new venue does reset things slightly.

Round four sees Medvedev as the projected opponent. The Russian is coming in off a bit of a surprise loss to Krajinovic in Indian Wells and his section is quite open with Schwartzman, Mannarino and Struff all capable of making it to the last 16.

I think the Argentine might come through and that could be an interesting match should Roger make it. Fed leads the H2H 4-0 but diminutive Diego is a tough competitor and should like the conditions.

The quarter-final has Kevin Anderson as the top seed but after he withdrew from Indian Wells I have no idea where he's at game wise. The South African usually plays well in Miami given he's based just up the coast at Gulf Stream but a lack of match practice doesn't help his cause.

Dimitrov is in this section too after also missing Indian Wells with a shoulder problem and so is Khachanov who finally found some form last week after a woeful start to the season. I'd pick Karen to come through here and like Thiem he has the firepower to hurt Roger should they meet.

The semi-final has third seed Sascha Zverev as the projected opponent but he's been up and down of late. Bombing in Australia, making the final in Mexico then struggling with illness in Indian Wells.

However, I think the German will play well in Miami. He was last years runner up, spends the offseason at the Saddlebrook Resort in Tampa and the conditions suit his game style so he should be able to put another run together.

The final, of course, has Djokovic as the top seed and he's already at the venue practicing. The Serb should be fresh after losing early in Indian Wells and he's usually tough to beat here. Isner, Thiem and Nishikori are all in his half though so assuming the draw keeps some semblance of how it looks on paper he won't go untested should he make the final.

So overall tricky to predict with the venue change here and I imagine the projections will all fall by the wayside in a few day times.

How different will the conditions be? It's still Laykold Plus and it's still in Miami but a completely new arena and the court will be laid differently to how it was at Crandon Park so I'm interested to see how it plays.

I'm also looking forward to seeing how the tournament is received by the players and fans. Miami has historically been one of my least favourite events in the Calendar, can it move up the ladder?

As for Fed, he lost his first match here last year after losing the Indian Wells final so avoiding a repeat of that is his first MO.

From there I think it's just continuing to play how he did in Indian Wells and seeing what happens in his last tournament before his clay comeback in Madrid.

As always let me know your thoughts on the draw in the comments. Are you looking forward to the new venue?

Jonathan

Huge fan of Roger Federer. I watch all his matches from Grand Slam level right down to ATP 250. When I'm not watching or tweeting about tennis I play regularly myself and use this blog to share my thoughts on Federer and tennis in general.

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52 Comments

    1. Sorry to disagree Anna but I think that is a daunting draw.Stan early on(poor Stan why does he keep
      getting these terrible daws).Medvedev,big server,Anderson,even bigger.And the coup de grace-
      Schwartsman.The slayer of giants even by being in the draw😎
      One small crumb is that Thiem is s on Djokers half,so be interesting to see how he plays against the
      greatest of all returners.
      However the draw could fall apart as at IW.Interesting to see how the new courts play.

  1. Hum, not an easy draw but that can also be a good thing. I can’t help thinking that if Roger had had a “normal” semi-final match in the Deep Desert Wells he might have played more sharply in the final. But that’s milk that has long flowed under that bridge and turned into yogurt somewhere else.

    1. actually Rui,I agree.I think sometimes these walk overs can be a mixed blessing.Thinking of the
      American Open,when Djokovic got a ridiculously easy draw with walk overs and players retiring injured and then ran slap bang into Stanimal in the final.So yes the tougher draw can be good,sometimes,the best example of all being Feds draw at the Ausralian Open after six months off.
      Whatever happens in the future,surely that was Feds sweetest victory😊

      1. Oh yes, Annie, sweetest and longest-desired. That fifth set is my go-to mood lifter whenever I’m feeling down.🙂

  2. Daunting draw. Good challenge for the FedExpress.

    Let’s cheer him on. There would be extremely few negatives to take away from Indian Wells. He did what 126 other players in the draw didn’t do by reaching the final 😆

    1. Indeed,and don’t forget that the World number 1 and 2 were included in that 126,also number 3 if I think about it.

  3. Roger is enjoying his tennis year 2019. He knows he is 37 and soon to be 38 this year and having fun with his game. If he is going to play clay it shows me he is just enjoying playing and that the “MUST WIN AT ALL COST” is gone. I believe Merka and his team support his decision to keep playing because even if he does not win another tournament this year if he stays in the top 10 at age 38 that also would be an accomplishment. I think he keeps playing and fighting to stay in the top 10 and that means maybe another 2 years when he turns 40. So let us keep supporting our great champion and win or lose judge him for his great tennis at age 37.

  4. Jonathan I agree with your thesis. Let him see how far he gets in this tournament without high expectations and with the forethought that regardless of the outcome, the match play will help him for clay.

  5. There are so many good big strong players on tour now that on paper
    all the draws look daunting. I just hope Miami courts will be a tad
    quicker than IW not only for Fed but for all players.

    1. Just never enjoyed watching it a whole lot for some reason. Obviously enjoyed 2017 but other than that can’t recall really getting into it. The venue, fans, Miami, IMG etc.

      1. I met people in the airport at Palm Springs. They live in Florida and prefer to go to IW. I see it’s in an Industrial Park now and built on a parking lot. Yuck.
        After being at Melbourne Park and USO, I tell ya, things look a whole lot better on tv.

  6. I still can’t get over the fact that a clay-courter won Indian Wells and then we go to another hard-clay court. Fed might not win this one but he should get as much points as he could for Wimbledon.

    My only hope is for Djokovic to lose again and another Isner-like player wins it again with all the inspiring backstory. That’s the only feel-good outcome other than the GOAT Federer winning it.

  7. I think he can at least make the semis if he remains in good form. Medvedev would be tricky and Zverev would have a good chance at taking him out if his head is right. Overall I just hope to see the same way he played in IW – holding serve well, hitting the forehand with authority, and returning more aggressively.

  8. Loads of banana peel, on paper he should be able to navigate through it till semis at least. I hope for better result than last year. It will be interesting to hear what Roger has to say about the court condition.

  9. Stan’s seeded? Well, that’s a positive step 🙂

    No idea how this one will work out, but agree that Roger needs to get his head back in the game sharpish 🙂

  10. Decent draw. Can’t expect anything easier in a 1000. He has a chance to win it since he is healthy and playing well. If he can just play the important points with better mindset and get luckier than he has been of late, ….

  11. Look at Nole’s section – Berdych/Tomic in R2, Raonic, Isner, RBA, Fognini, Edmund, Poulie
    Not an easy one. But of course if he can find his zone nobody can stop him

    1. Tomic hasn’t made it through qualifying for his last two events and Berdych has a joke record vs Nole. I’d say that is a dream start, but gets tougher 😀

  12. No idea how the draw will shape up each day nowadays. Simply glad Fed is in it. And believe he has always a decent chance to win it so long as he’s in a good shape. Let’s see which outfit he’s going to wear or what combination of the colour he’ll chose? 😆
    The stadium looks great with a nice shade of blue just as the sea of Côte d’Azur. Though, heard the court speed was medium slow. Well another good practice for clay season.

  13. Jonathan is so speedy at doing posts, I did not have time to react  after the IW final… and slept like a baby at 9:00 pm yesterday. Thank you Jonathan for this gem-blog :-)…

    A few quick thoughts then.
    – Sad Fed lost the 101-Dalmatian  final but happy for Dominic who played better. I had seen a video about Thiem’s training during the winter at Teneriffa. It was impressive ! Glad that huge work paid. I wish Nadal had solid opponents at RG this year !
    – I wonder what would have been the outcome of the IW final if it had been a 5-set match. What do you think ? 3-set matches are lotteries somewhat…
    – Fed just won an ATP 500 and was the finalist of an an ATP 1000 in a fortnight. He played beautiful games. What a treat to enjoy to forget about Chistchurch tragedy, Paris riots and the like !
    – I wish pupils, students, every of us could display such a nice attitude and happy smile after a failure or a defeat (trophy ceremony)… what a lesson ! It shows the most sincere feelings from Roger towards Thiem. I guess he is deeply happy his Laver cup team-mate won his first Masters 1000 at 25.
    – As for the Miami draw : it seems challenging but RF is healthy as he said,  he knows his opponents well, will love to compete in a new stadium… all positives.

    Go champion !

    PS : please send me good vibes for tomorrow as I will try to book seats for Roland Garros 🙂

    1. I agree about the class and warm feelings towards Thiem (one of his numerous young students). Thiem is still shy and not prepared mentally to have a speech as a winner of a big tournament and this just against Fed. Thiem’s speech (I cannot catch everything when hearing live in English) was a bit funny. He was happy, genuine, humble and respectful and completely embarassed to be in this situation .

      Roger was staying relaxed and chatting with Tommy but when Thiem started to “battle” through his speech, Fed was trying to friendly help him and there was a moment, I believe to have seen his eyes getting wet and he looked really moved by Thiem’s happiness, expressed with so much humbleness and respect.

      Thiem is in good memories from the first Laver Cup (the pic Jonathan chose for the article was just perfect.

      I think Fed was genuinely a happy loser. The one, having won everything, helping the youngster just coming through the situation of having defeated the GOAT in an even, close fight.

      What can be more delightful for the MAESTRO than seeing his STUDENTS making big progress and understanding, every young player on tour must less or more feel his apprentice?

  14. I’ve just learned Isner is the defending champion! How didn’t I know that? Aha, I didn’t care after Roger gone 😆

  15. @Fench Butterfly,
    Don’t know anything about booking tickets for RG but wonder if they are as difficult as booking for Wimbledon?
    Many years ago my husband just wandered into Roland Garros and could buy tickets there and then.
    But I imagine those happy days are no more!

    1. For 2 of 3 years, you cannot buy RG tickets so easily (within or near the stadium) : you have to “queue” on their website and tickets are nominative (to avoid black market). You cannot give/sell your ticket to a family member or friend for that reason. If you need to resell your ticket because you cannot go on a given day, you can do it on the website and you will be refunded via a money transfer within a few weeks. Thus,   if you have a chance you can try and buy a new ticket a few days before  a given day according to the few tickets which have been resold.  A few weeks ago, part of the tickets have been already sold to tennis club members. So, the rest of the public will be able to buy the remaining tickets as of today… Fingers crossed !  I want to see Roger play !

    2. Well you can’t buy Wimbledon tickets via general sale… so RG has to be easier than that 😆

      Butterfly – could you join a tennis club as a non-playing member and get access?

  16. Yupeeee ! I managed to buy seats on the Central Court of Roland Garros for 2 consecutive days –  2nd round on May 29 + 30. Seats are in the high rows  but I’ll cope with it.
    So, now I need :
    – Roger to win first round.
    – No injury ahead please
    – no WO from his opponent
    – no rain delay to disturb the order of play
    – Roger’s match scheduled on Central Court

    and I promise a fan story, Jonathan ! 🙂
    I came back to the site at lunch time. Almost all tickets have been sold (except premiums).
    Federer effect ? Crazy !!!

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