Hey all, feels like a while since I last did a draw post and I certainly didn't expect to be doing one for Miami 🙂 but here we are and Federer is making his comeback after knee surgery. The draw has just landed and you can see Federer's project opponents below along with the full draw:
Federer's Projected Opponents
- Round 1: Bye
- Round 2: Juan Martin Del Potro
- Round 3: Jeremy Chardy
- Round 4: David Goffin
- Quarter Finals: David Ferrer
- Semi Finals: Novak Djokovic
- Finals: Andy Murray
Thoughts on the Draw
So first up could be a very interesting match against long time friend and rival Juan Martin Del Potro. Like Roger, Del Potro is on the comeback from injury, albeit after a much longer spell on the sidelines and this will be his third tournament of 2016 after playing Delray Beach and Indian Wells.
I've seen some of his matches and when he's able to get his forehand into play he's as dangerous as ever but the backhand looks a little restricted and he's not match fit. But at the same time Roger hasn't played in 2 months either so they both might struggle on the legs front. I've seen quite a few picking Pella to come through the first round, and he is in reasonable form, but I think JMDP has enough in the tank to setup the tie against Fed.
If Roger makes Round 3 which I expect him too then Chardy is the seeded opponent, he's given Federer a hard time in the past but he's not in great form himself so providing Fed is up to it physically I see him coming through. Verdasco is the other likely opponent but who knows which version of him turns up in Miami. He has made 2 quarter finals though making it his best M1000 results wise off clay so perhaps he will factor.
The seeded opponent for Round 4 is Indian Wells semi finalist David Goffin, the Belgian is playing some good stuff this year and he should do well on this type of surface. Potentially a difficult a match as he will make his opponent play a lot of balls and it could get quite physical if Federer can't find a way through the back of the court.
Quarters would then be Ferrer, who is another player on the injury comeback. If anyone can tough out matches despite having not played though it's him. Cilic and Simon are also in that section.
The last 4 would then be a tie against Djokovic and then the final is seeded to be against Murray who has a good record in Miami winning it twice.
So overall a fair draw. I think Fed's goal has to be to play 2/3 matches and see how things work out. Miami has been one of his poorer tournaments post prime so it's tough to see him going deep even if he was in white hot form never mind having not played for 8 weeks so it does boil down to just wait and see from the fans side of things. I'll be happy with 2 wins.
What do you guys think? Let me know in the comments.