Roger Federer is into the Coupe Rogers Quarter Finals with a hard fought 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 victory over David Ferrer. Without playing especially well Roger came through in one hour and 57 minutes to record his 14th match win a row and set up a tie with Roberto Bautista Agut, after he edged out Gael Monfils 4-6, 7-6(5), 7-6(2) in a three hour battle on the Stadium Court earlier in the day. .
The set streak is over but Roger's peRFect record vs.Ferrer still stands. In fact it was only the second time in 17 encounters that Ferrer has won the first set but he wasn't able to find that elusive win as he slipped to 0-17 in the H2H, with Roger's first win coming all the way back in 2003 at the CA-TennisTrophy in Vienna.
Quick Match Recap
Ferrer won the toss and elected to serve, firing down a comfortable hold to lead 1-0. Roger looked untouchable on serve against Polansky but here he had to save five break points to level at 1-1.
Ferrer then held to 15 and was able to break to lead 3-1 after Roger had saved another 3 break points in his service game. The Spaniard then consolidated the break for 4-1.
A 5-3 Ferrer served for the set but found himself in trouble at 15-40 and eventually missed a slice to drop serve. Roger then held a game point to level at 5-5 but Ferrer dug in and converted his second set point to take it 6-4.
Into set 2 and Fed responded quickly with a break to lead 1-0. After consolidating for 2-0 it looked like he'd found some sort of groove but Ferrer hit back in game 4 to level at 2-2, Fed hitting a ball into the stands midway through the game in frustration. Fortunately, Ferrer's momentum was halted instantly as Roger took advantage to break again for 3-2. This time around he maintained the advantage, shaking off break points at 5-4 to level things up at 1 set all.
Like the second set, Ferrer was broken in the very first game of the third. Federer saved a break point en route to consolidating and in game seven he was able to secure the double break to lead 5-2 before serving out the match to 30 to move into the Quarter Finals. Poor start, ok middle and good finish.
|David Ferrer||Roger Federer|
|First Serve Percent||58% (49/85)||59% (60/102)|
|1st Serve Points Won||67% (33/49)||70% (42/60)|
|2nd Serve Points Won||47% (17/36)||50% (21/42)|
|Break Points Saved||62% (8/13)||77% (10/13)|
|Service Games Played||14||14|
|1st Serve Return Points Won||30% (18/60)||33% (16/49)|
|2nd Serve Return Points Won||50% (21/42)||53% (19/36)|
|Break Points Converted||23% (3/13)||38% (5/13)|
|Return Games Played||14||14|
|Net Points Won||44% (4/9)||64% (18/28)|
|Total Service Points Won||59% (50/85)||62% (63/102)|
|Total Return Points Won||38% (39/102)||41% (35/85)|
|Total Points Won||48% (89/187)||52% (98/187)|
Thoughts on the Match
From the baseline, I didn't have enough rhythm. The court is fast here. Of course, because of the surface, that it's fast, you can't just decide to put the ball in because physically David is very strong. You can't do that. You have to go into the battle. You have to accept you're going to make mistakes. But you have to keep moving forward. I tried with my intensity and focus to change the match, and this is what I was able to do. I was able also to change the angles, and that helped me win the match.
Not one for the highlights reel this one as it was a scrappy match from Fed who made 47 unforced errors. Ferrer made the better of the start two forcing the issue to win the first set but fortunately, Roger was able to find a way to come through. After hitting 19 unforced errors in set one he tightened up to cut that number down, upped his intensity from the baseline and managed to put Ferrer in some awkward spots to draw the errors. Luckily for the Swiss, Ferrer just can't win enough cheap points behind his serve so you always feel like there's a way back into the match whatever the scoreline.
Anyway, a wins a win and he's into the Quarter Finals. Maybe the Coldplay hangover kicked in after 48 hours but it looked like one of those days where your best tennis evades you, the legs aren't quite dancing and there's very little rhythm in your game. The first set was pretty terrible with Fed looking low on energy, playing a lot of wild low percentage shots and often lunging at the ball which ended up with him having to try and muscle it in. With less than precise footwork you get Federror out there, he picked up towards the end though and I think Ferrer's lack of confidence this year and overall with the H2H helped him win the mental battle in the third.
As for Daveeeeed he returned serve really well which put Federer on the back foot and he's had another decent week as he looks to build some momentum after a few injury setbacks and losses this year. It looks unlikely he'll be the force he once was and he's not beaten a top-10 opponent in his last 13 attempts but his level this week looks higher than #33 in the world where he's currently sat.
Predictions vs. Bautista-Agut
Next up is Royal Bank of Agut who defeated Monfils in a tough three setter that lasted over three hours. Not ideal prep for a player who's a bit of a roadrunner when they're going up against Fed. Agut is obviously one of the fittest guys on tour but even he will be feeling the affects of today's humid conditions.
Roger leads the H2H 6-0 and hasn't dropped a set to the Spaniard so he goes in as a heavy favourite. Couple that with Agut likely feeling it in the legs then it all points to a Federer victory. If Roger has another off colour day then Agut is probably good enough to get a set but I will pick Federer to win in straights.