Bonjour tout le monde, my blogging break after Basel lasted a whole 2 days as Roger quickly got back onto the showcourts and started with a win against big serving Kevin Anderson.
I wasn't sure what to expect from the South African as he has a decent game but has a reputation of letting the occasion get to him hence the nickname Anderchoke and that's pretty much what happened today. Despite having a fairly big game he made some poor decisions at key moments and Federer simply took advantage of them to move into the third round.
Quick Match Recap
The match started peRFectly as Roger drew blood in the first game to break serve and held to love to lead 2-0; Anderson isn't the sort of guy who will create a lot of chances on the return so to drop his own serve (one of his main weapons) immediately was a real gift.
After that Roger could just play freely on his returns which allowed him to get into quite a few of the Anderson service games but he couldn't get the insurance break. That didn't matter though as he was holding serve comfortably himself and he served out the first set to 30 to take it 6-4.
The second set was very similar with Roger having a break point in Anderson's first service game, this time he failed to capitalise but sealed the deal in the next to lead 2-1. That scoreline soon became 5-1 but Anderson then reeled off 3 games in a row to claw his way back. The set looked like it could be bakery products at one stage and I was disappointed Fed failed to serve it out at 5-2 hitting a trademark backhand shank into the tramlines on break point.
Luckily the insurance break paid off and he got the job done second time of asking saving 2 break points to take it 6-4 6-4 in 1hr 22 minutes. A routine match really without any real difficulties other than that slight falter at the end. I can't be too picky about that though, it looks like he's in good form after Basel and could do quite well here which would be good to see.
|Stats||K. Anderson||R. Federer|
|1st Serve %||58%||63%|
|1st Serve Points Won||27/38 (71%)||29/39 (74%)|
|2nd Serve Points Won||11/27 (41%)||13/23 (57%)|
|Break Points Saved||5/8 (63%)||5/6 (83%)|
|Service Games Played||10||10|
|1st Return Points Won||10/39 (26%)||11/38 (29%)|
|2nd Return Points Won||10/23 (43%)||16/27 (59%)|
|Break Points Won||1/6 (17%)||3/8 (38%)|
|Return Games Played||10||10|
|Total Service Points Won||38/65 (58%)||42/62 (68%)|
|Total Return Points Won||20/62 (32%)||27/65 (42%)|
|Total Points Won||58/127 (46%)||69/127 (54%)|
Winners and Unforced errors are back 😀
Shot of the Match
Thoughts on the Match
Overall a great start to the tournament, Anderson has made just as many finals as Roger this year, a misleading stat perhaps 😛 so he can't be taken too lightly and beating him comfortably is a good sign.
To be honest Roger didn't have to do a whole lot to get his breaks of serves or to cross the finish line but he looked sharp for most of the match and other than a slight blip near the end he was by far and away the better player who was fully deserving of the win.
I thought Roger was moving well, serving well and putting in quite a lot of variety which is good to see. I don't have the stat to hand but it felt like he won the vast majority of rallies that went any sort of distance and I recall plenty of points where he showed defensive hustle to finally draw the error from Anderson.
To get critical it's always disappointing to not close a match out first time of asking especially when you haven't been troubled in the slightest before that, it just looks a bit weak and it feels like quite a while since Roger saw out a match without any sort of difficulty. I know full well closing out a match is one of the hardest things to do in tennis but it'd be nice to see him bang down a couple of aces rather than make no first serves and get broken.
On the flip side though he did slip to down 15-40 on his second attempt at serving it out but fired down 2 huge serves to make deuce and then closed it out on his first match point so I'm probably being too critical here. I should pay some credit to Anderson who played pretty well in those games with some aggressive tennis.
Predictions vs. Kohlschreiber
Next up for Roger is Philipp Kohlschreiber who defeated his fellow countryman Tommy Haas in straight sets. Both guys are good opponents for Roger so I wasn't really too fussed who won but from the scoreline of 6-2 6-2 it looks like Kohli dominated proceedings.
Kohlschreiber has never beaten Roger before (H2H 7-0) and Roger won fairly easily when they met in Cincinnati earlier this year so I expect something similar here.
As for scoreline I'll pick Roger in straights 6-4 6-4; Kohlschreiber plays attacking tennis and is good to watch so might be able to produce some flashy winners but that's usually not enough to beat Roger. I figure if Roger stays patient and can maintain that level of aggression coupled with good defence then Kohlschreiber won't have the answers. Now Fed has qualified for London he can play pressure free too so that should help his natural game. Hopefully it's a good match. Allez!