So after Rogers loss to Tsonga in Montreal the next bit of tennis us Fed fans have to look forward to is the Cincinnati Masters which starts on Monday. Where Federer will be the double defending champion.
The draw has been released, with the likely second round opponent for Roger being none other than his 2009 US Open Conqueror, Juan Martin Del Potro. Arguably the worst match possible considering Fed keeps getting beaten by power hitters like Tsonga.
I’m not sure the kind of form Del Boy is in, he just lost to Cillic in the Rogers Cup. So he’s not exactly on US Open 09 form, but he maybe quickly improving, which is a worry. Federer is again in Djokovics half of the draw – should he play (I heard a rumour he way withdraw). It’s looking likely he’ll capture the title in Montreal should he beat Tsonga today, as his final opponents are either Janko Tipsarevic or my tip in my hard court season preview – Mardy Fish. He should beat either of those comfortably.
Should Federer get past Del Potro – he will probably face Marcos Bagdhatis or Victor Troiki, those should be easy wins, and it could be Berdych in the Quarters, but I’m not getting ahead of myself.
What can we expect from Federer here?
Making predictions around Rogers matches is becoming increasingly difficult – I predicted he would destroy Tsonga earlier in the week, which turned out to be totally wrong. Del Potro could be a difficult task – we saw Roger destroy him in the 2009 Australian Open – then lose in 5 in the US Open final after pressing the self destruct button – see video below (terrible umpiring by the way) so it’s difficult to call.
If we say Del Potro has a similar game to Tsonga (which he does in some respects – big big forehands) then it could be a really tough match and definitely not the sort you want in the second round of any tournament. But it’s not a matchup yet – Del Potro has to get past Seppi in the first round so we will just have to wait and see.
I played two matches, I feel good physically. New York is in one month (from August 29) – it’s far away. For the time being, the focus is here, not elsewhere. But if you want to talk about the US Open, I can tell you I feel good mentally and I’m playing well.
Reasons Federer Can Do Well
- He likes the surface
- He’s a 4 time champion
- The surface isn’t as quick as Montreal
- His forehand holds up
Percentage chance: 60%
Reasons Federer Can Crash & Burn
- Round 2 is likely Del Potro
- He’s struggling against power hitters
- He may be saving himself for the US Open
- He turns into Shankerer
Percentage chance: 40%
(*All percentages calculated using a highly complex tennis based algorithm)
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